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Whom to Trust in a Crisis

A year ago, in an environment not dominated by a virus, I wrote about how to recognize cranks in your research at work. However, as we are all now living with a science-related crisis, this seems like the best time to revive this topic. This time, the research we’re conducting is for our own good.

Okay, ready to go? The reason why the ability to recognize cranks has become important on a personal level: we are all, one way or another, having to get educated about a scientific topic. There is a lot of data out there–good grief, we’re practically drowning in it! In this country, that deluge of data is being complicated by political partisanship.

It would be one thing if the arguments were confined to policy–what should we do about the virus for the good of the country? However, I’m also encountering a bewildering array of alternative studies and facts, which is not a good problem to have. This is why it’s now more critical than ever that we have a clear understanding of what’s going on and whom/what to trust. The difference here is that you’re not worried about getting a document right, you’re doing what you can to keep yourself and those you care about healthy and safe in an uncertain environment.

The most useful advice I have is:

The coronavirus is serious and needs to be treated as such. This is absolutely the wrong time to huddle in our various partisan bubbles and seek comfort from whichever narrative we find most comforting. We need hard data and educated, clear explanations of that data that we and our elected officials can trust to make good decisions.

Let’s be careful out there.

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